2012 AFL Premiership Odds

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February is upon us and yes the start of the long awaited 2012 AFL season is not far away. However February each year brings us the start of the Pre season competition the NAB Cup. Before we look at the NAB Cup lets have a look at the early 2012 AFL Premiership odds.

Hawthorn is the hot favourite for the 2012 flag according to punters.  The cash is already flowing for the Hawks who are responsible for around  40% of the betting to date according to TAB Sportsbet’s Matt Jenkins.  TAB  Sportsbet has reported bets of $4600 at $7, $4000 at $7 and $500 at $6.50.  Both Carlton and West Coast are also favoured by punters with bets of $8000 at $15 for the Eagles who have ended up at $13 and a massive $50,000 bet at $1.40 for Carlton to make the eight.  Sportingbet Australia has also seen the Hawks emerge as a clear punters’ favourite.  Sportingbet’s Michael Sullivan reported odds of $7.50 into $5.50 and were best backed against the Blues at $10 into $8.

The Brownlow odds to date are tipped towards Gary Ablett at $11 according to Sportingbet, who also saw an $8000 bet placed on Buddy Franklin at $3.65 for the Coleman medal.  Centrebet has reported Scott Pendlebury as the leading Brownlow contender at $8, ousting Chris Judd at $9 followed by Trent Cotchin at $51 into $31 as the next best-backed outside contender. However Centrebet’s Neil Evans noted that, although Pendlebury may be a hot favourite for the Brownlow, punters are not feeling it for the Pies, who are out from $3.10 to $3.30.

In brief the top 5 punters’ favourites for the flag are: Hawthorn (40% at $6); West Coast (17% at $13); Carlton (13% at $9); Fremantle (7% at 26); Collingwood (5% at $3.25). The rest of the teams follow with: Geelong (5% at $4.50); St Kilda (3% at $13); Essendon (3% at $21); Western Bulldogs (1% at $51); Sydney (1% at $26); Melbourne (1% at $81); GWS (1% at $501); Richmond (0.5% at $67); North Melbourne (0.5% at $51); Adelaide (0.5% at $34); Brisbane (0.5% at $151); Port Adelaide (0.5% at $251); Gold Coast (0.5% at $251).

Check out all the early 2012 AFL premiership odds here from our comparison Sportsbook odds Engine here.

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2011 AFL Grand Final Betting Review

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Congratulations to Geelong for winning the 2011 AFL Grand Final and ultimately the 2011 AFL premiership. As for the 2011 Grand Final Betting, it’s been a tough week for bookmakers who are trying to catch their breaths after Saturday’s grand final victory by the Cats. Punters have been backing Geelong all week and TAB Sportsbet’s Matthew Jenkins said that they opened at $2 starting the Grand Final match at $1.77.  These odds brought in one bet of $125,000 just before the kick off. Sportingbet Australia saw similar activity with Geelong at $2.05 opening at $1.80 pre-game.

Live betting was even more of a nightmare for the bookmakers.  Sportingbet Australia’s Michael Sullivan said that in the second quarter Geelong blew out to $3.40 while trailing Collingwood by 16 points with plenty of bets placed at that price.  There was, however, one unfortunate punter who blew $30,000 on the Pies at $1.30.  There were also bets on Travis Varcoe to kick the first goal staring at $17 into $15.

Sportsbet.com.au was the only bookmaker that was happy with the Cats win after one punter lost $500,000 on the Pies.  Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane said that no one wanted to bet on the Pies initially but then on Friday one hapless punter placed $500,000 on Collingwood at $2.10.

Geelong began the 2011 season at $8 and was never better than $8.50 with TAB Sportsbet.  The punters were not only on the money with the match winner, but also with Jimmy Bartel’s Norm Smith medal win.  Betstar’s Nick Heathcote said that Bartel was backed at $15 into $9 and that they received bets of $2,000 at $15 and $1,500 at $9 leaving a few happy punters with some nice bank balances.

Regardless of last weekend’s loss the Pies are favourites for next year’s flag with TAB Sportsbet currently placing them at $3.50.  Tab Sportsbet’s Matthew Jenkins said that Collingwood limped into the Grand Final this year whereas Geelong seemed to have reached their peek as they entered the finals race.  However the Pies have some strong young players coming through next year whereas Geelong have a much older line-up and this should see the odds in the Pies favour.

2011 AFL GRAND FINAL HIGHLIGHTS

Below we have highlights of the grand final between Collingwood and Geelong.

Collingwood v Geelong

12.9.81 — 18.11.119

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