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2018 AFL Round 12 Betting Preview – GWS vs Gold Coast

GWS v Gold Coast
Sat 4:35pm at Spotless Stadium Best Bet: GWS 4th Quarter Line -12.5 ($1.87)
Value Bet: Jeremy Cameron 5+ Goals ($4.50)
Player Prop: Callan Ward 30+ Disposals ($2.75)
First Goalscorer: Jeremy Cameron

GWS get the perfect chance to continue to push their Finals credentials when they host the Suns at Spotless on Saturday afternoon. The Suns are fresh off an embarrassing and insipid display in their 85 point loss to the Cats in their first game at Metricon this year, and represent the perfect opportunity for the 11th placed Giants to improve on their 5-5-1 record. After losing 4 games in a row, things were getting desperate for the Giants- and the huge win against Adelaide has breathed some life into a season some thought was lost. After Round 2 they were paying just $1.08 to make the Finals and they drifted out as far as $5 and are now back into $2.75. What a rollercoaster! In their next 3 games they play the Suns, Lions and Hawks; all very winnable games that could push them up the ladder. Can they get the job done at home against a Gold Coast side that is sliding into irrelevancy?

GWS (LLLLW) – After losing four games on the trot with an average losing margin of 41 points, the Giants finally broke through for a much needed win after they upset the Crows in Adelaide last round. Jeremy Cameron appeared to find some form on the back of Kelly, Shiel and Coniglio asserting some dominance through the midfield while Ryan Griffin played his best game for the Giants and look dangerous throughout. It seems like forever ago the Giants were absolutely spanking the Dogs in Canberra by 82 points- but maybe last week is a sign they are slowly regaining that form.

Gold Coast (LLLLL) – The chance to play at Metricon for the first time in 2018 should have been invigorating after the trip to China. Should have been the perfect motivation. NOPE! The Suns were HORRENDOUS. They laid just 41 tackles despite chasing tail most of the game and gifted 11 goals to Geelong with turnovers. The fact they had a goal-kicking accuracy of a putrid 23.5% didn’t help either. After starting the season with such promise, things are going bad very quickly for the young Suns.

Stats That Matter
– The Giants have won the past 5 meetings with an average margin of 56 points
– Jeremy Cameron has kicked 19 goals in his last 4 games against the Suns
– Gold Coast have won just one 4th quarter this year with a percentage of 41%
– GWS are 1-4 ATS at home this season
– Callan Ward averages 28 disposals and 109 Fantasy Points per game against the Suns
– Gold Coast are 1-4 the Over/Under away from home
– The Suns are averaging just 51 points per game in their last 3 matches

Betting Data
2018 Line: GWS- 2-9; Gold Coast- 5-5
2018 Over-Under: GWS- 4-7; Gold Coast- 2-8

What To Expect

The Wolf was stunned by how poor the Suns were at home last round, and it’s hard to see how they can bounce back from that against a side that is as skilful as the Giants. Granted, there are stages this year where they have been exceptionally poor, but against the Crows last week they looked to have recaptured some of their best footy through a midfield dominance that will only get better. Wolfie loves a quarter bet, and is VERY keen on the Giants to absolutely pummel the young Suns in the last quarter.

How It’s Shaping Up

GWS by 38

Recommended Bets

Best Bet: GWS 4th Quarter Line -12.5 ($1.87)
Value Bet: Jeremy Cameron 5+ Goals ($4.50)
Player Prop: Callan Ward 30+ Disposals ($2.75)
First Goalscorer: Jeremy Cameron

2018 AFL Round 12 Betting Preview thanks to William Hill Australia.

GWS vs Gold Coast Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have AFL Round 12 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.