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2018 AFL Round 16 Betting Preview – Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn

Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Sat 7:25pm at Etihad Stadium
Best Bet: Hawthorn 1-39 ($2.20)
Value Bet: HT/FT Double- Bulldogs/Hawks ($6.00)
Player Prop: Tom Mitchell 130+ Fantasy Points ($2.35)
First Goalscorer: Toby McLean

In a match that is critical for their Finals chances, the Hawks will take on the Doggies at Etihad Stadium on Saturday night. The pups will be full of confidence after two rollicking displays over the past fortnight, with both matches going right down to the dying seconds. The characteristics from 2016 have returned, and they have hunted their opposition in packs- forcing turnovers and making the opposition defence backpedal. An experienced Hawthorn side will certainly be ready for the enthusiastic Bulldogs, you’d think- and with so much on the line for the Hawks, they simply must win this game.

Western Bulldogs (LLLLW) – What a turnaround we have seen from the Doggies over the past fortnight! Their 2016 pressure and mile-a-minute attacking footy has returned, and they continually put both the Roos and the Cats on the back foot over the last two games. You get the feeling they have got some genuine belief back after some very dark days earlier this year, and unheralded players like Bailey Williams, Billy Gowers, Ed Richards and Mitch Wallis are leading the way. Important leaders like Dahlhaus and Johannisen have finally found some form and the defence has (just) managed to hold firm despite the flurry of inside 50s from the opposition.

Hawthorn (LWWWL) – The Hawks form line isn’t as impressive as it looks given a lot of their wins have come over bottom 8 sides, but either way they do keep themselves in the contest with their measured game-style based on characteristic pinpoint kicking. Tom Mitchell has been a lone-hand in contested ball, and the side are getting smashed in that area (they were -55 against the Hawks last round)- so if they are to compete with Top 8 sides players like Shiels, O’Meara and Howe need to step up and lend a hand.

Stats That Matter

– Hawthorn have won 9 of the last 10 contests
– Jarryd Roughead’s best record against an opponent is the Bulldogs- he has kicked 46 goals in his 14 matches against them (3.3 per game)
– Hawthorn have lost 3 of their last 4 games at Etihad
– The Bulldogs have won just two 4th quarters this season (-112 points)
– Tom Mitchell is averaging 37 disposals per game over his last 6 matches
– The Doggies are 2-6 ATS in their past 8
– James Sicily had 31 disposals, 12 marks, 1 goal and 124 Fantasy Points in his last game against the Bulldogs
– The Hawks are 3-6 on the Over/Under in Melbourne this year

Betting Data
2018 Line: Western Bulldogs- 5-9; Hawthorn- 8-6
2018 Over-Under: Western Bulldogs- 5-9; Hawthorn- 5-9

What To Expect

The Doggies would be absolutely stoked this game is at Etihad instead of the MCG; it certainly suits their game much better and takes away the advantage the experienced Hawks have at the ‘G. Expecting it to be helter-skelter early and continue to remain a tight tussle, but there is too much at stake for Hawthorn to be losing this one.

How It’s Shaping Up
Hawthorn by 14

Recommended Bets
Best Bet: Hawthorn 1-39 ($2.20)
Value Bet: HT/FT Double- Bulldogs/Hawks ($6.00)
Player Prop: Tom Mitchell 130+ Fantasy Points ($2.35)
First Goalscorer: Toby McLean

2018 AFL Round 16 Betting Preview thanks to William Hill Australia.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have AFL Round 16 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.