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2018 AFL Round 8 Betting Preview – Carlton vs Essendon

Carlton v Essendon
Sat 2:10pm at MCG
Best: Carlton +19.5 ($1.91)
Value: Carlton 1-24 ($4.75)
Player Prop: Dyson Heppell 120+ Fantasy points ($3.40)
First Goalscorer: Charlie Curnow

Saturday afternoon footy at the ‘G sees cellar dwellers Carlton take on the 15th placed Essendon, in a battle for which side can disappoint their supporters the most. Essendon have had flashes of brilliance this year, but that has been punctuated by some embarrassing performances that leave commentators and fans alike flabbergasted at how talented players could perform so poorly. Brendan Bolton keeps insisting Carlton are continuing to improve- but all we can see is that they currently sit 0-7, and have only managed to get within 20 points of their opposition once. Whoever brings effort to the MCG on Saturday will win this one- forget about Champion Data rankings and AFL ratings; it will simply be who wants it more.


Carlton (LLLLL) – Just when you think things can’t get any worse, they do. Saturday’s trip to Adelaide was made all the harder with the news during the week that boom forward Charlie Curnow would miss, along with promising defender Caleb Marchbank. They fought hard against Adelaide, but were still absolutely smashed. When your best is that far behind, you have serious issues.

Essendon (LWLLL) – The only words that can describe the Bombers right now are lazy and pathetic. There is just no sense coming out from the club that they have enough players that are content to roll up their sleeves and get dirty, instead of accumulate good looking stats and plays for their highlight reels. The defensive attitude across the ground is one of entitled royalty, and it needs to change quick smart. Where has the pressure gone?

Stats That Matter

– Essendon have lost all 7 of their 3rd quarters this season at a percentage of just 39%
– Carlton have not reached 100 points in 40 matches
– The Bombers are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games
– Dyson Heppell averages 113 Fantasy points a game against Carlton
– Carlton have lost 8 straight at the MCG
– Ed Curnow is averaging 8.7 tackles a game in 2018

Betting Data

2018 Line: Carlton– 3-4; Essendon- 2-5
2018 Over-Under: Carlton– 3-4; Essendon- 2-5

What To Expect

Death, taxes and not being able to pick the spread in an Essendon game- all the biggest certainties in life. Which Essendon side will show up remains a mystery but the Wolf is predicting the Blues to bring the heat, like they did in their last game at the ‘G against West Coast. Clearly, the Bombers have more A-grade players in their line-up in terms of closing out a game, but Wolfie has a feeling the Blues will be throwing the kitchen sink at this one in an attempt to break their duck.

How It’s Shaping Up

Carlton by 6 points

Pump It Up Price Special: Z. Merrett/Zaharakis/Heppell 90+ Disposals ($6.00)

Recommended Bets
Best: Carlton +19.5 ($1.91)
Value: Carlton 1-24 ($4.75)
Player Prop: Dyson Heppell 120+ Fantasy points ($3.40)
First Goalscorer: Charlie Curnow

2018 AFL Round 8 Betting Preview thanks to William Hill Australia.

Carlton vs Essendon Comparison Betting Odds

Below we have AFL Round 8 comparison betting odds from leading Australian and International online sportsbooks for the game.